He's now a Republican, but until the late 1980s he had a ``D'' by
his name like almost all of Alabama's elected leaders. Greer said his
politics didn't change: He's always been conservative.
``You basically had liberal Democrats, middle-of-the-road
Democrats and conservative Democrats, which probably should have been
Republicans,'' Greer said of his early political career.
He was not alone.
``If you were going to get elected, you had to run as a
Democrat,'' said Speaker of the House Mike Hubbard, R-Auburn, a former
chairman of the state GOP credited with orchestrating the Republicans'
2010 takeover of the state Legislature.
After Democrats dominated state and local government for more
than a century, today's Legislature is Republican by a supermajority.
Republicans hold all constitutional offices elected by statewide
vote: governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general and treasurer, and
state judgeships. Both U.S. senators from Alabama are Republicans, as
are six of the seven U.S. representatives. The lone exception represents
the state's only majority black district.
Now, GOP leaders hope they have created for the Democrats the same situation in the Legislature they faced for decades.
``I believe the days are coming that you are going to have to be a
Republican, unless you are in a minority district,'' to get elected,
said state Senate President Pro Tem Del Marsh, R-Anniston.
Republicans are raising money through a variety of political action committees to protect their stronghold in Alabama politics.
``I've watched the Democratic Party in Alabama over the last
generation have a gradual going-out-of-business sale,'' said Jess Brown,
a political science professor at Athens State University. ``The
Democratic Party's position is weaker than it's been since
Reconstruction.''
Clearly, the party that dominated Alabama politics for more than a century is on the political ropes, experts say.
``It's an iffy future,'' said Glen Browder, a former Democratic
U.S. congressman, Alabama secretary of state and state legislator. ``In
the short term, it is going to be very difficult (for Democrats). In the
long term, there is a chance they can come back and restore themselves
as a party in Alabama.''
Republican dominance of state politics didn't happen overnight; it was decades in the making.
Many political observers point to the 1986 gubernatorial election
as the turning point. That's when conservative Charlie Graddick
defeated longtime Democrat Bill Baxley by 25,000 votes in a runoff,
presumably winning the party's nominee in the process. State party
executives, however, reversed the vote and made Baxley the nominee
because Graddick campaigned on getting Republicans to cross over and
vote for him in the Democratic Party runoff.
Republican Guy Hunt won the general election that year. The only
Democrat elected governor since was Don Siegelman, he served from 1999
to 2003.
Many Republicans argue that the power switch was inevitable,
saying Alabama Democrats have become increasingly liberal, like their
counterparts in Washington, D.C.
Another popular theory held by some Democrats is that the party
has experienced ``white flight'' much in the manner of larger cities in
the South since school desegregation in the late 1960s.
From the Democrats' view, it's not quite time to turn out the
lights. Any nominated statewide Democrat can still win 36 to 37 percent
of the vote, Brown said. ``That's a bigger base than Republicans had in
the 1950s.''
In November, Democrat Lucy Baxley lost her re-election bid for
Public Service Commission president to Republican Twinkle Andress
Cavanaugh, who took 54 percent of the vote. Bob Vance lost the state
Supreme Court chief justice race to Roy Moore, who claimed 52 percent of
the vote.
``The problem is that if (Democrats) only nominate people who
appeal to the base, they will get creamed,'' Brown said. ``Democrats are
basically without a message and without a messenger. Their stable is
empty.''
Brown said two R's _ race and religion _ have played a major role
in Alabama politics in recent decades. From the 1950s to the 1980s,
when the Democratic Party stopped promoting segregation and began
attacking it, whites started to leave it, Brown said.
Then in the 1980s, Republicans began to campaign on social issues
like abortion and school prayer _ all of which fall under the religion
category for most Alabamians.
``(People) started to say, `The Republican Party _ they see God as I see God,' " Brown said.
The political shifts in Alabama apply to much of the South.
Browder recently wrote a series of blog posts about the state of Democrats in the South for the website www.huffingtonpost.com. In one, he said:
``Even as the Southern electorate shifted toward GOP candidates
in the 1990s and at the dawn of a new century, Democratic politicians,
organizations and voters continued as robust players in the 11 states of
the old Confederacy. Throughout, Southern Democrats have conducted
themselves as a stubborn, contrarian version of their national party.''
Some say one man helped keep Alabama blue, while other Southern states transitioned to red.
``Basically, Alabama is behind other states in switching to
Republican because (George) Wallace stayed around so long,'' political
science professor Shannon Bridgmon said.
Wallace, a Democrat and symbol of segregation, served four terms as governor from 1963 and 1987.
``Wallace was so popular in Alabama, he was able to keep this
idea alive that there was a difference between Alabama Democrats and
national Democrats,'' Brown said. ``The minute Wallace's sun set in the
'80s, that was over for Democrats.''
Switching parties like Greer did is nothing new for former
conservative Democrats. Several prominent Republicans used to have a
``D'' by their names, including state Sen. Jabo Waggoner, of Vestavia
Hills, and U.S. Sen. Richard Shelby, who switched parties in 1994.
Waggoner is entering his 40th year in the Alabama Legislature, the first 17 of which he served as a Democrat.
``It was all white, the Senate was all male and I think there was one female in the House,'' he said about his first term.
In 1984, he changed parties.
``I was always a conservative person, so it was an easy change
for me,'' Waggoner said. ``I think the letter by my name changed. I
don't think my politics have changed.''
For years, experts said, politicians were comfortable saying,
``I'm an Alabama Democrat,'' and that was enough to distinguish them
from more liberal Democrats on the national scene.
That doesn't work anymore.
``More and more voters get their political information from
national sources,'' Brown said. ``Their impression of national Democrats
is transferred to (local) Democrats.''
And the GOP is cashing in on that, drawing comparisons to ``Pelosi Democrats'' locally, Bridgmon said.
Not all Democrats mind the comparison. Rep. Patricia Todd, of Birmingham, calls herself an ``Obama Democrat.''
``I'm probably the only white Democrat who has embraced him as much as I have,'' Todd said.
D'Linell Finley, a Montgomery political science professor and
expert in minority politics, said it's OK for Alabama politicians to say
they're Alabama Democrats. ``But they also must make it clear that
there are some national programs that are good for Alabama and the
nation,'' Finley said.
Bridgmon describes the ``top-down'' transition from Democrat to
Republican in Alabama. After 1956, Alabamians only voted for one
Democratic presidential candidate, Georgian Jimmy Carter, in 1976. The
state favored GOP challenger Ronald Reagan in Carter's unsuccessful
re-election bid even though Carter kicked off the campaign in Tuscumbia.
Alabama Republicans' successes in congressional and statewide offices are impressive even in the minds of most Democrats.
Bridgmon said in the 1970s Republicans started heavily targeting
every available office. Democrats weren't prepared to fight back, she
said.
``Democrats started to count on those old New Deal Democrats as
the base of the party, while Republicans went for younger voters,'' she
said. Now, those New Deal Democrats are fading.
``In northeast Alabama, as those voters die off, they are not being replaced,'' she said.
The Black Belt counties of central Alabama, Jefferson County,
where the Alabama Democrats just opened a second headquarters, and
counties in extreme northwest Alabama are essentially the last
Democratic strongholds in the state.
In Morgan County, the legislative delegation is now all
Republican. In 2010, Terri Collins, of Decatur, beat a Democratic
challenger for the seat Democrat Bill Dukes held for four terms. Rep. Ed
Henry, of Hartselle, became the first Republican to represent the
District 9 House seat after defeating Democrat Kathy White Goodwin.
Henry believes he is the first Republican some of his
constituents voted for, but he sees that as a reflection of changing
parties, not Alabamians.
``My grandfather was a staunch Democrat, and if he didn't know
what the Democratic platform was today, he'd be shocked to see an `R' by
my name,'' Henry said.
But people need to stop thinking just in terms of ``R's'' and ``D's,'' Goodwin said.
``People need to start thinking on their own instead of letting parties think for them,'' she said.
Last year, Republican challenger Jennifer Howell defeated 18-year
incumbent Morgan County Circuit Judge Sherrie Paler with 56 percent of
the vote.
Paler attributed her loss to the state GOP's mass mailings and
promotion of straight-ticket voting, where a voter can select all the
candidates from one party on the ballot by checking one box.
``As long as the state party is going to pump in for straight-ticket voting, it is what it is,'' Paler said.
William Stewart, a retired chairman of the political science
department at the University of Alabama, said an influx of blacks in the
state Democratic Party is at least a partial cause for whites leaving
the party.
``Whites would not openly say, `I'm switching to Republican
because blacks are the majority of my party,' but it is a factor,''
Stewart said.
Finley said ``exodus'' is a good word to use. He attributes the
political swaps of the 1980s to something more strategic than a personal
choice.
``It was the conclusion of the Nixon Southern Strategy to help
build a Republican majority by going after conservative whites,'' he
said. The movement capitalized on the uneasiness of whites about the
Democratic Party's push for civil rights.
More recently, he said, the Republicans' popularity in Alabama
has to do with the election of Barack Obama and ``white resentment.''
``Once you see a Joe Biden or Hillary Clinton heading up the
(national) Democratic Party, I expect to see some whites warming back up
to the party,'' he said.
State Sen. Hank Sanders, D-Selma, agrees. In 1983, he was one of
four blacks elected. He said the Republican ``tsunami'' of 2010 was, in
part, a reaction to a bad national economy, but also a reaction to
Obama.
Stewart said blacks will continue to dominate the Democratic
Party in the future, especially because of recent redistricting in the
state House and Senate, which critics said stacked blacks in a limited
number of districts.
``The prospect of electing a white Democrat is not good,'' Stewart said.
Sanders said he doesn't think his party has become one of only black members.
``There are still significant numbers of white Democrats and they vote for Democrats on local levels,'' he said.
``But on state and national (races), they have been voting Republican. We have to stop that.''
In the Tennessee Valley Caucus, made up of 14 counties, there are
30 representatives and senators. Seven of them are Democrats; 23 are
Republicans. Five of the Democrats are from the Shoals.
``My parents and grandparents were Democrats,'' Greer said. ``But
time has changed things. I think the Shoals is changing, but not as
rapidly as I'd like to see it.
``The Republican Party is almost there on the local level. In 2014, I predict that we can win all that we run for.''
*Pictured above is Alabama state Sen. Hank Sanders, D-Selma